Call Ratio Backspread Option Strategy โ A High Risk, High Winning Probability Strategy
The call ratio backspread strategy is quite a unique technique that provides us almost a guaranteed profit with a high level of risk.
This is a strategy that may not be very suitable for any investor because of the serious risk that we may be facing if the trade does not work as intended
In this guide, we will learn what is a call ratio backspread, how to use it, and how to configure it to take the best from it. Also, we will learn the call ratio backspread risks and the profits so we can understand how it really works.
Table of Contents
What is a call ratio backspread?
A call ratio backspread strategy is a particular strategy that provides us with more money when the underlying approaches to the risk zone until a certain threshold.
The call ratio backspread allows us to make a limited profit when the asset loses its value. At the same time, it has a peak of profit when the underlying comes close to the danger zone.
However, if the price of the asset surpasses a certain threshold, the losses we can obtain are quite huge and we may end up owing money.
It is a very high-risk strategy but with a very high probability of profit. In some cases, it is almost a winning trade if we decide to open it.
How is a call ratio backspread option strategy composed?
To create the call ratio backspread strategy and to profit from it, the most typical approach is to sell a very high number of Out of The Money call options while at the same time, buy a few At The Money or slightly Out of The Money call options.
The aim is the selling call options will pay for the bought calls while trying to keep a specific net credit that will be our maximum gain if the underlying falls in value.
The reason we will be buying the calls is to protect ourselves in case things go against us.
When to use the call ratio backspread strategy?
Just like its sister, the put ratio backspread, the call ratio backspread strategy is better used with an asset that has a very high value, and when we are sure that it is going to fall over time.
We highly recommend you to use the Average True Range indicator plus a trend follower like the Supertrend indicator while executing this kind of trades. A single mistake with this strategy can be fatal.
With the call ratio backspread strategy, we are trying to reduce the risk when the price of the asset approaches the danger zone. As we are dealing with a selling strategy, our primary focus is to keep the premium we have received for opening it.
The best way to understand how the call ratio backspread risk and profits work is by providing an example.
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Call ratio backspread strategy example
Let us suppose we wish to trade a call ratio backspread strategy over the QQQ, which is the ETF that replicates the behavior of the NASDAQ Composite Index. Due to the pandemic, the market is becoming quite turbulent, and the general lockdowns are creating a bearish market.
We are expecting this trend to continue for at least one month, and we are going to use the implied volatility in our favor to open the call ratio backspread strategy. As we believe that the market is not going to rise in the next month, we will be opening the strategy.
In this case, as the QQQ stock price is today at $274, what we will be doing is to sell quite a lot Out of the Money call options at the strike price of $300 while at the same time, we will be buying an At The Money call option whose strike price is $275. We can assume the volatility in both cases to be at 36.56% to simplify the matter.
Let us take a look at the call ratio backspread calculator to learn the results of opening this kind of trade.
In this case, the call ratio backspread calculator is showing us the values of every branch. We can see that we will be selling seven Out of The Money call option contracts, and we will receive for them $3.27 each. At the same time, we will be buying one At The Money option contract whose price is $11.12.
In other words, if we subtracted both prices, we will find a total net income of $11.80 for opening this trade, and this is the máximum profit to the downside.
To have a better perspective of this trade, we are going to have a look at the chart, in which we will be representing the strike prices of the strategy.
In the previous image, the green lines represent the strike prices of the call options we are trading. Now, we need to focus on the colored areas of the chart.
The yellow area represents the limited gain we will obtain if the QQQ stock price goes down. This limited gain is determined by the premium we received by opening our call ratio backspread strategy.
The green area represents a more significant profit obtained by the call options we have bought. If the QQQ stock price stays in it at the expiration, we will receive more money than the yellow zone.
The red area represents the risk zone, and this particular one is unlimited if the stock price rises. However, we must consider that we have set the risk zone above the highest value the Nasdaq has ever reached, so it is quite improbable that we could lose any money under the circumstances we are facing right now.
To fully understand the call ratio backspread risks, the best thing to do is to show the payoff diagram of the strategy.
Call ratio backspread risks and payoff diagram
To represent the diagram, we have used our option strategy calculator, in which we will be able to see the expected results at the expiration date.
As you can see in the call ratio backspread calculator, we have a limited profit to the downside, which would be the net credit we received when we opened the strategy, which was a premium of $11.80.
However, if the stock price begins to rise while is trying to reach the shorted call options, the money that the call ratio backspread strategy generates becomes higher and higher.
When the stock price reaches a certain threshold, about $305, the strategy will generate an enormous loss, unlimited because of the shorted calls.
The unlimited losses of this strategy is what makes it a very, very dangerous technique if we do not treat it carefully.
Call ratio backspread strategy margin requirement
As with any other option strategies with a short-selling leg, the call ratio backspread will also require a margin by the broker. In other words, we are going to need a margin account to be able to execute this strategy.
However, the margin the broker is going to ask us is enormous because we are shorting many Out of The Money options. To be able to perform the call ratio backspread strategy, we are going to need a considerable amount of money.
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Last words about the call ratio backspread option strategy
The call ratio backspread strategy is a very, very high risk, high probability of profit strategy.
This one is always better used with assets whose prices are relatively high because it will allow us to sell Out of The Money options that are far away from the current market price.
We should keep in mind that, to perform such a strategy, we must be sure about what we are doing. If we have any doubts, we could always other option strategies that limit the risk just like the Iron Condor or the bull put credit spread.